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Expected Credit Loss (ECL)

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ECL is the technique by which financial institutions and companies predict potential financial loss arising from a customer’s inability to pay. It gives the estimate of expected losses on loans or financial assets based on probabilities.

  • Calculation of ECL
    • Estimate PD: This is an estimate of the probability of the borrower defaulting
    • Loss Given Default Determination: This is a product of the estimate and probable loss when the borrower defaults.
    • Calculation of EAD Exposure: This will involve the product of the result in LGD and the amount at risk at time of default
    • Sum for Portfolio Level ECL: This is aggregation for individual loan ECLs to be able to find out expected loss for the portfolio as a whole.
  • Why ECL?
    • Improves Financial Integrity: Provides credulous financial statements.
    • Aids in Risk Management: Ensures banks hold sufficient provisions to account for credit losses.
  • Who Applies ECL?
    • Companies: Employ ECL for impairment accounting of financial assets, including trade receivables.
    • Banks: Employ ECL to measure and provide for credit losses on their loan portfolios.

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