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RBI’s Bond Forward Norms Set to Boost Demand for 10-15 Year State Bonds

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Context:

The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) new guidelines on bond forwards come into effect from May 2, 2025.

Objective: To help long-term investors manage cash flows and interest rate risks, while expanding the range of interest rate derivative products.

What Are Bond Forwards?

  • Bond forwards are contracts where two parties agree to buy or sell a government bond at a predetermined price on a future date.
  • Unlike forward rate agreements (FRAs), bond forwards allow physical delivery of securities rather than mere cash settlement.

Key Market Impact

  • Focus on State Development Loans (SDLs):
    • Higher demand expected for bond forwards linked to 10-15 year SDLs.
    • Wider yield spreads (around 29 basis points) between 10-year SDLs and benchmark government bonds make this segment attractive.
  • Long-Term Investors Benefit:
    • Insurance companies, pension funds, and mutual funds can better hedge against interest rate risks across market cycles.
    • Access to physical bond delivery addresses a key gap in earlier hedging methods like bond FRAs.

How the Market Setup Changes

  • Market Makers:
    • Scheduled commercial banks and standalone primary dealers are authorized as market makers.
  • Excluded Entities:
    • Small finance banks, payment banks, local area banks, and regional rural banks are excluded from participating in bond forward market making.

Broader Impact

  • Enhanced Price Discovery:
    • Encourages better pricing of interest rate risks across different bond maturities.
  • Wider Market Participation:
    • Expected to deepen the Indian government securities (G-Sec) market and strengthen hedging mechanisms for long-term investors.

BS

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