Daily Current Affairs Quiz11 March, 2025 International Affairs 1. India U.S. Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) Context: On February 13, 2025, during Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the United States, the two nations agreed to start negotiations for a Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA) by fall of 2025.While the details regarding the scope and provisions of the BTA remain vague, it contemplates the BTA to have a multisector perspective rather than to be one primarily oriented toward the liberalization of trade, a feature of the FTA.The agreement would be bilaterally permissible under WTO trade laws, and with respect to India and the U.S., both being members of WTO, especially the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), whatever concerns compliance with WTO trade laws. Key Legal Considerations Under WTO Law Most Favoured Nation (MFN) Principle & Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) Interim Agreements Under GATT The Enabling Clause: Preferential treatment for developing countries Challenges & Compliance with WTO Law The India U.S. BTA will have to be drawn up strictly with a view to WTO conformity as an FTA or at least as a genuine interim agreement. Any selective reductions involved without adherence to the standards set out by the WTO may trigger the legal challenges raised against these reductions. 2. India on Tariff Reduction Claims by the US Context: The Indian government denied making any commitment on a tariff reduction in the face of US President Donald Trump’s assertion. Discussions continue since India wants an extended time frame until September 2025 to negotiate the Bilateral Trade Agreement (BTA). Selective Tariff Reductions Possible India’s Trade with the US is Different Than With Canada and Mexico Challenges Against US Claims Inputs Made to the Parliamentary Panel In its negotiations, India stands steadfast to pursue its terms, keeping in mind the protection of strategic sectors like dairy. Despite the pressure from the US, India would insist that tariff reductions would be bilaterally negotiated, and there is no confirmed deadline of April 2. 3. US Economic Outlook & Trump’s Trade Policies (2025) Policy Indecision & Market Confusion Rising Tension Surrounding the Imminent Recession Market Sentiment Transition Response of Trump to Recession Risks Global & Industry Effects The rising potential for recession in the US economy increases as Trump’s trade policies continue to usher uncertainty. Markets are adjusting completely to new economic expectations, and businesses must prepare themselves for effects that may take place as far as a downturn goes. 4. China’s Deflation Crisis Why in News? Even though policymakers in Beijing may be putting up a sanguine show, not all is well with China’s economy. Its latest official data reveals that prices in China fell 0.7% from a year earlier in February, marking the first time in more than a year that the economy is in the grip of deflation. Economic Indicators Signaling Deflation What is Deflation? Impact of Deflation Positive Effects Negative Effects Why Deflation is a Concern China’s Policy Response China’s Delicate Balancing Act UPSC Prelims PYQ Q. Which one of the following statements is an appropriate description of deflation? (2010) (a) It is a sudden fall in the value of a currency against other currencies (b) It is persistent recession in both the financial and real sectors of economy (c) It is persistent fall in the general price level of goods and services (d) It is a fall in the rate of inflation over a period of time Ans: (c) Source: Mint National Affairs 1. Obesity in India Context: An analysis of the earnings data for salaried workers, casual labourers, and self-employed persons from Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) reports shows that when adjusted for inflation, wages for salaried workers in India have stagnated since 2019. Tackling Obesity in India Background Food Labelling and Advertisement Dilemmas Flawed Labelling System Problems of INR System Weak Advertising Regulations Recommendations: The Way Forward Source: The Hindu 2. Global Arms Trade Trends (2020-2024): SIPRI Report Context: Ukraine, involved in a war with Russia for the past four years, was the largest importer of major arms in the world in the 2020-24 period, clocking a nearly hundredfold rise in imports compared with the figures for 2015-19. Key Highlights India’s Arms Imports: Changing Trends Global Arms Export & Import Trends Ukraine’s Arms Imports Conclusion Source: The Hindu 3. Ultra-High Energy Particles in Space Key Discovery Understanding Shock Waves in Space Key Findings from Space Missions The Electron Injection Problem Solved? Implications for Cosmic Ray Research Next Steps Source: TH 4. The Challenges of Tribunalization in India What is a Tribunal? A tribunal is a person or institution that has the authority to settle disputes or claims. Tribunals can be used to resolve administrative or tax-related disputes. In India, tribunals are quasi-judicial bodies that are an alternative to the traditional court system. Tribunals: A Solution That Hasn’t Delivered Key Challenges Across Tribunals A. Overburdened & Inefficient Tribunals B. Judicial Intervention: Undermining Tribunal Authority C. Economic & Legal Ramifications Core Issues Behind Tribunal Inefficiency A. Poor Selection & Lack of Infrastructure B. Lack of Structural Oversight C. Appeal System Undermines Finality Potential Reforms & Solutions A. Strengthening Tribunal Autonomy B. Improving Efficiency & Reducing Backlogs C. Overhauling Appointment Process D. Addressing Government Apathy Tribunals were meant to fast-track justice, but inefficiency, poor oversight, and excessive judicial intervention have made them part of the problem. Without structural reforms, better appointments, and stronger independence, tribunalization will remain an incomplete solution rather than a true alternative to courts. Banking/Finance 1. SEBI’s Proposed Short selling Reforms What is Short Selling? Short selling is a trading strategy in which a trader aims to profit from a decline in a security’s price by borrowing shares and selling them, hoping the stock price will then fall, enabling them to purchase the shares back for less money. Abrogation of Short Sale Reports Alteration to the Delivery and Settlement Regime Modifications to Penalties and Enforcement Reasons for the Changes What Comes Next? If adopted, SEBI’s proposed amendments will enhance liquidity and efficiency in the market due to an expansion in the options available for short
AAHAR 2025
Context: The Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA) took center stage at the 39th edition of AAHAR 2025, held from March 4–8, 2025, at Bharat Mandapam, New Delhi. The event, organized by the India Trade Promotion Organization (ITPO), underscored India’s growing influence in the global agriculture and food processing industry. Diverse Participation Reflecting India’s Agri-Food Strength APEDA facilitated the participation of 95 exhibitors, including: This broad representation highlighted India’s regional agricultural diversity and its evolving food processing sector, emphasizing innovation, sustainability, and quality standards. Focus on Sustainable and Plant-Based Food Innovations During the ‘India Plant-Based Foods Show’, APEDA Chairman Shri Abhishek Dev emphasized: Showcasing India’s Processed Food Diversity The APEDA Pavilion featured a wide array of organic and processed food categories, including: The Pavilion served as a hub for industry professionals, fostering networking and trade collaborations. Culinary Showcase & Live Demonstrations A wet sampling area, led by an Indian chef, provided live demonstrations of healthy millet-based cuisines such as: This interactive segment attracted strong footfall, offering attendees a first-hand experience of India’s evolving culinary innovations. Key Inaugurations & Industry Engagement Their participation reinforced India’s commitment to exporting high-quality, sustainable food products, positioning the country as a key player in global food markets. Strategic Takeaways & Future Outlook APEDA’s participation at AAHAR 2025 marked a significant milestone in India’s food export strategy, demonstrating its agricultural prowess and commitment to sustainable food production. The event further cemented India’s role as a global leader in processed and organic food exports, opening doors for enhanced trade partnerships and investment opportunities. Source: PIB
Inflation Forecasting
The Evolution of Inflation Challenges RBI’s Approach to Inflation Forecasting How Large Language Model (LLM) Can Revolutionize Inflation Forecasting A. Nowcasting & Real-Time Data Analysis B. AI-Driven Forecasting Accuracy C. AI Agents in Inflation Expectation Surveys AI’s Expanding Role in Economic Decision-Making Challenges & Limitations of LLMs in Forecasting AI Success Story: Predicting Indian Elections (2024) The Future of AI in Inflation Forecasting Source: BS
Government Seeks ₹6.79 Trillion in Additional Expenditure
Context: The Government requested Parliamentary approval for gross additional expenditures of ₹6.79 trillion and a total net cash outgo of ₹51,463 crore. Most of this expenditure will be completely offset by savings not exceeding ₹6.27 trillion from other ministries, and the resultant enhanced receipts and recoveries will ensure that there is no impact on the fiscal deficit.So as to provide the possibility of absorbing such savings where a new service or instrument is involved, a token provision of ₹6,700,000 has also been incorporated. Expenditure? Expenditure is the act of spending money on goods, services, or activities. It can also refer to the total amount of money spent. How is expenditure recorded? Allocations Behind Any Additional Spending Over and above 85% of the total net cash outgo, other spending allocations include: The first supplementary grant already provided for a net cash outgo of ₹44,123 crore earlier in FY25. Fiscal Impact and Government Strategy Fiscal Outlook The second supplementary demand for grants signifies the Government’s strategic approach toward managing fiscal preferences, maintaining allocations of utmost priority while keeping a perspective of general fiscal discipline.
Rupee Down again
Context: The rupee plummeted to a two-week low upon closing at 87.34 to the US dollar, down 0.52% from the previous close of 86.88. Reasons Behind Rupee Depreciation On-Going Strong Demand for Dollars in the NDF Market Limited Effect from RBI Intervention General Broader Market Trends and Other Global Factors Consequences for the Indian Markets and Economy Outlook In contrast, any intervention on the part of the RBI will stabilize the rupee if global risk sentiment improves. Debt holders will closely monitor U.S. trade policy and FII trends, since they will play a critical role in determining the movement of the rupee in the coming weeks.
Software as a Service (SaaS)
Context: B2B SaaS company Perfios, a provider of software services to banks and other financial services companies, has acquired CreditNirvana, a debt management and collections platform. B2B B2B stands for business-to-business, which refers to the exchange of products, services, or information between businesses. It’s different from business-to-consumer (B2C), which is when a business sells to an individual. How does B2B work? Overview of the Acquisition Software as a Service (SaaS) Software as a Service (SaaS) is one of the cloud computing models, allowing users to access applications over the internet with a subscription or pay-as-you-go model. Under a SaaS model, the service provider maintains the software, infrastructure, and data, and the user needs to access the application. Earlier, companies used to install software in the clients’ localised hardware so that they could use the application. So, this meant customers have to pay for the usage of the software beforehand, and also for the hardware on which the software would run. Credit: The Economic Times
MDR on UPI & RuPay Debit Card Transactions
Context: The government is evaluating a proposal to bring back merchant charges on transactions conducted through Unified Payments Interface (UPI) and RuPay debit cards. What is MDR (Merchant Discount Rate)? Key Proposal Details Rationale Behind Bringing Back MDR Potential Implications Open Questions & Future Considerations Source: The Economic Times
Indian Banks Struggle to Boost Deposit Growth Amid Rising Loan Demand
Loan Growth Outpacing Deposit Growth Trends & Statistics Loan & Deposit Growth System-wide LDR Challenges Facing Banks CASA (Current Account Savings Account) Struggles Competition for Deposits Alternative Funding Pressure Implications for the Banking Sector Risk of Funding Shortfalls: Higher Borrowing Costs: Regulatory & Policy Considerations: Future Outlook & Possible Solutions Deposit Growth Expected at 12-13% in FY26: Strategies for Banks: Regulatory Measures Could Be Introduced: Source: The Economic Times
Regulatory Concerns in the SME IPO Segment
Context: Retail investor enthusiasm has been the primary factor behind the robust fundraising in the SME (Small and Medium Enterprise) IPO segment. Strong post-listing performances of SME stocks have encouraged continued investor participation. Concerns About SME IPO Risks Sebi’s New Regulatory Measures The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) tightened the regulatory framework for SME IPOs in response to investor exuberance, introducing measures to ensure only companies with strong track records can list: Ticket Size and Retail Accessibility Future Outlook and Challenges While SME IPOs have been a significant fundraising avenue, regulatory tightening and increased market volatility may temper future enthusiasm. Experts predict a potential slowdown in the number of issuances unless market sentiment improves and investor awareness grows about the risks associated with these high-risk stocks.
SME-IPO Boom Amid Mainboard Slowdown
Context: While the mainboard IPO market has slowed down significantly due to market volatility and cautious investor sentiment, SME-IPOs continue to thrive. The resilience of the SME segment reflects a shift in investor preference towards smaller, high-growth companies that offer promising returns despite broader market challenges. SME vs. Mainboard IPOs: 2024 Trends Month SME IPOs Funds Raised (₹ Cr) Mainboard IPOs Funds Raised (₹ Cr) January 20 880 6 4,845 February 20 930 3 10,878 March (as of March 11) 6 170 0 0 SME IPO Market: Yearly Growth Year No. of Issues Funds Raised (₹ Cr) 2018 141 2,287 2019 51 624 2020 27 159 2021 59 746 2022 109 1,875 2023 182 4,686 2024 (YTD) 240 8,761 Why Are SME IPOs Gaining Momentum? What This Means for the Broader Market Outlook The current SME IPO boom is driven by a combination of regulatory ease, strong investor interest, and market adaptability. However, whether this trend sustains depends on broader economic conditions and how mainboard companies respond to evolving investor expectations. Source: BS