Context:
Trump’s said to have symptoms of a second term that will worsen instability all over the world. The world will no longer have any illusions on the fact that the post war basis of governance is being dismantled. It means a shift away from collective security to power politics and more U.S. withdrawal from global institutions.
From Stability to Chaos: Decay of a System
- It integrated economic self determination, global collective security, and self determination into structures post World War II. This has been a quite flawed order but has so far managed to restrain flagrant abuses by the major powers.
Isolation From International Agreements
- Isolation from international agreements, such as the Paris Accord, WHO, NATO, has left allies dry.
- Tariff wars and economic nationalism distorted the world economy.
- Trump direct contacts with Putin, without mentioning Ukraine, points to a restore to great power deals that include smaller countries at their expense.
A World Power Politics Redrawn
- Thus, leaving the U.S. serves as an usher to a new geopolitical reality.
- Russia waning dominance in Europe, of course, at the expense of a weakened NATO.
- China sees in it an opportunity to further develop its influence, particularly over Taiwan.
- Americas, facing inward, will care not what’s happening in the former ally countries.
- Abandon Ukraine leaves Russia stronger and European states with the allocation of their security.
- The unchecked expansion of ambitions over Taiwan and the territorial integrity of India raises concerns.
- The new US-Russia backchannel meetings in Riyadh appear strikingly similar to those associated with past power deals. However, in this case, it dallies with surrender instead of a victor’s peace.
What It Means for India?
- China’s Indiscretion is a Security Threat Directly especially along the McMahon line.
- India needs defense alliances, which must thus be more defensive and offensive than ever before in the face of ever changing power structures over its neighbors.
- The resulting instability in the global arena could even affect growth at home, thus requiring a changed foreign policy.
A world ruled by power replaces the now vanished rules
