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Rupee Hits 7-Month High of 83.76/USD Before RBI Steps In

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Key Highlights:

  • Intraday Movement: The Indian rupee appreciated to 83.76 per dollar in early Friday trade — its strongest level since September 30, 2024 (when it touched 83.71).
  • Psychological Level Breached: This marked the first time since October 17, 2024, that the rupee moved below the 84/USD mark, triggering stop-loss orders and foreign inflows.
  • Closing Rate: The rupee ended the day at 84.55, slightly weaker than Thursday’s close of 84.49.

RBI Intervention:

  • Estimated Size: The Reserve Bank of India intervened with an estimated \$3 billion purchase of US dollars.
  • Purpose: Aimed at containing rupee volatility and preserving export competitiveness.
  • Market Reaction: Dealers cited heavy dollar buying by RBI as the key reason for the rupee’s retracement from its peak.

Bond Market Update

  • New 10-Year G-Sec: The coupon for the freshly issued 10-year government bond was set at 6.33%, aligning with market expectations.
  • Liquidity: It has quickly become the second most liquid on-the-run government security.

Forex Reserves

  • India’s foreign exchange reserves are also at a 7-month high, reflecting robust external stability and capital inflows.

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