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RBI Rate Cut Could Revive Loan Growth, But Deposit Mobilisation Key: Fitch

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RBI Grade BNABARD ESISEBI
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Fitch Ratings has projected that the Reserve Bank of India’s recent 50 basis point rate cut could help revive loan growth to 12–13% in FY26. However, this growth is contingent on stronger deposit mobilisation by the banking sector.

Key Banking Sector Metrics and Trends

  • Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (LDR):
    • Rose 120 basis points in FY25.
    • Sustaining loan growth momentum will require banks to match or exceed lending with deposit growth.
  • Sectoral Loan Growth:
  • Earnings Resilience:
  • Net Interest Margin (NIM) fell by 20 basis points.
  • Despite this, earnings were supported by:
    • Lower credit costs
    • Recoveries from non-performing assets
    • Treasury gains

TH

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