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Sebi’s Advisory on Opinion Trading

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RBI Grade BNABARD ESISEBI
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Context:

On 29 April, the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) clarified that opinion trading platforms do not fall under its regulatory jurisdiction. These platforms allow users to bet on real-world outcomes (e.g., “Will it rain tomorrow?”) via binary choices like “yes” or “no.”

  • Sebi stated that since no security is being traded, no investor protection provisions under securities law apply.
  • It also warned users that these apps use misleading terminology like “trading,” “profits,” or “stop-loss”, which may mimic securities market activities.

Platforms Affected

  • Major platforms in India include:
    • Probo (backed by Peak XV, Elevation Capital, Fundamentum)
    • MPL Opinio
    • Tradex
    • Trago
  • These platforms had hoped for a CFTC-style framework (like in the U.S. for event contracts), but India currently lacks such regulation.
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