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S&P Retains India’s GDP Growth Forecast at 6.5%

1 min read Source: TH
RBI Grade BNABARD ESISEBI
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S&P Global Ratings has maintained India’s GDP growth forecast for FY2025-26 at 6.5%, highlighting strong domestic demand and a supportive monsoon.

Key Highlights:

IndicatorForecast / ValueNotes / Drivers
GDP Growth (FY26)6.5%Growth retained by S&P Global Ratings
Recent GDP Growth (Q1 FY26)7.8%April–June 2025 quarter
Inflation (FY26)3.2%Revised downward due to lower food inflation
Monetary Policy Outlook25 bps rate cut expectedRBI expected to adjust policy given low inflation
Key Growth DriversStrong domestic demand, benign monsoon, income tax & GST cuts, accelerating government investmentConsumption and investment expected to rise significantly

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