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India’s Growth Projections: IMF vs. World Bank

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IMF Growth Projection for India

  • Maintain growth at 6.5% for FY26 and FY27.
  • Causes of sluggish growth
    • Stunned deceleration in industrial activity.
    • Shocking 5.4% growth in September quarter.

World Bank‘s Growth Projection

  • Stepped-up growth prospect
    • The growth for India would be at 6.7% during FY26 and FY27.
  • Causes of growth
    • Continued services sector growth along with strengthening of manufacturing activity.

NSO‘s Estimate of Growth in FY25:

  • Lower FY25 projection
    • 6.4% growth, a four-year low.
  • Lower than RBI’s projection of 6.6% growth for FY25.

Global Growth Outlook by IMF:

  • Stable growth in the world
    • 2025 and 2026, 3.3%.

Risks and Challenges

  • Protectionism and geopolitical tensions
    • The risks and vulnerabilities associated with trade and investment.
  • Policy reforms
    • Supplies of labor improve, misallocations decline, competition increases, and innovation is supported.

Source: Business Standard

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